Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
San Lorenzo — Newell's Old Boys
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
San Lorenzo are slightly stronger: 39% against 29%, draw 32%.
1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 36%.
Why
- By the strength ratings San Lorenzo are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: San Lorenzo 1 win, Newell's Old Boys 1, 3 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: San Lorenzo 14, Newell's Old Boys 12.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Lorenzo — Newell's Old Boys What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| San Lorenzo not to lose | 71% | |
| Newell's Old Boys not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 36% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 64% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 28% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo goals
- Newell's Old Boys goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Deportivo Riestra1:0
- 03.10away · Defensa y Justicia0:3
- 20.09Boca Juniors0:2
- 14.09away · Independiente1:1
- 06.09Talleres1:0
- 13.10away · Gimnasia Mendoza0:1
- 03.10Lanús0:0
- 20.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:0
- 11.09Vélez Sarsfield1:1
- 06.09away · Rosario Central1:1
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Newell's Old Boys — San Lorenzo0:0
- 27.07.2024San Lorenzo — Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 21.03.2023Newell's Old Boys — San Lorenzo1:0
- 10.06.2022Newell's Old Boys — San Lorenzo0:0
- 12.12.2021San Lorenzo — Newell's Old Boys3:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Rosario CentralHuracánpreliminary6324131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
- AldosiviBelgranopreliminary2530452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.0
- IndependienteBoca Juniorspreliminary2831412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →