Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Santos Laguna — Pumas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Santos Laguna 37%, Pumas 35%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santos Laguna — Pumas What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Santos Laguna not to lose | 65% | |
| Pumas not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna goals
- Pumas goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Atlético de San Luis2:1
- 27.09Pachuca1:0
- 21.09away · Toluca3:2
- 14.09FC Juárez2:1
- 07.09away · Cruz Azul0:1
- 12.10Cruz Azul3:3
- 27.09Atlético de San Luis2:3
- 20.09away · Atlas1:1
- 14.09away · Chivas0:3
- 11.09León3:1
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Pumas — Santos Laguna4:0
- 13.07.2025Santos Laguna — Pumas3:0
- 17.04.2025Pumas — Santos Laguna2:0
- 14.07.2024Santos Laguna — Pumas1:1
- 19.02.2024Pumas — Santos Laguna3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pachuca | 11 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 12 | Pumas | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
Liga MX on the same day
- PueblaMonterreypreliminary2630452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- AtlasCF Américapreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- TolucaTijuanapreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- PachucaCruz Azulpreliminary3130402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →