Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Puebla — Monterrey
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Monterrey are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monterrey are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Puebla — Monterrey What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| Puebla not to lose | 55% | |
| Monterrey not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Puebla
- Puebla goals
- Monterrey goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · CF América1:1
- 26.09away · Atlante2:4
- 20.09Cruz Azul1:0
- 13.09Tigres0:0
- 31.08Atlético de San Luis1:3
Head to head
- 22.04.2026Monterrey — Puebla2:1
- 30.08.2025Puebla — Monterrey2:4
- 13.01.2025Monterrey — Puebla1:1
- 17.08.2024Puebla — Monterrey1:2
- 14.01.2024Monterrey — Puebla2:0
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- AtlasCF Américapreliminary2329482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- TolucaTijuanapreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- PachucaCruz Azulpreliminary3130402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Santos LagunaPumaspreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →