Liga MX (Mexico), round 13 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Atlas — CF América
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
CF América are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings CF América are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlas — CF América What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| Atlas not to lose | 52% | |
| CF América not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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Form
- 11.10Monterrey1:1
- 28.09away · Necaxa4:2
- 20.09Chivas2:2
- 13.09away · Cruz Azul3:4
- 30.08Puebla2:0
Head to head
- 26.04.2026CF América — Atlas0:1
- 25.08.2025Atlas — CF América2:4
- 16.03.2025Atlas — CF América1:3
- 18.09.2024CF América — Atlas3:0
- 03.03.2024Atlas — CF América1:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Liguilla (playoffs) | CF América | 10 | 6 | +11 | 21 |
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 5, Liguilla (playoffs) | León | 11 | 5 | +3 | 18 |
| 6, Liguilla (playoffs) | Atlas | 11 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7, Liguilla (playoffs) | Cruz Azul | 11 | 5 | +1 | 17 |
Liga MX on the same day
- PueblaMonterreypreliminary2630452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- TolucaTijuanapreliminary6819131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.4
- PachucaCruz Azulpreliminary3130402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- Santos LagunaPumaspreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →