Liga MX (Mexico), round 12 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Santos Laguna — Querétaro FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Santos Laguna are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 27%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Santos Laguna — No. 14, 13 pts; Querétaro FC — No. 3, 20 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- Santos Laguna: 4 wins in a row; Querétaro FC: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Santos Laguna 2 wins, Querétaro FC 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Santos Laguna — Querétaro FC What is xG? | 1.7–1.4 | |
| Santos Laguna not to lose | 70% | |
| Querétaro FC not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Santos Laguna
- Santos Laguna goals
- Querétaro FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Atlético de San Luis2:1
- 27.09Pachuca1:0
- 21.09away · Toluca3:2
- 14.09FC Juárez2:1
- 07.09away · Cruz Azul0:1
- 11.10Atlante2:0
- 27.09away · Chivas2:0
- 21.09León1:1
- 12.09away · Tijuana1:0
- 30.08away · Atlas3:1
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Querétaro FC — Santos Laguna2:2
- 27.10.2025Santos Laguna — Querétaro FC3:1
- 14.04.2025Santos Laguna — Querétaro FC1:2
- 09.11.2024Querétaro FC — Santos Laguna3:2
- 02.03.2024Querétaro FC — Santos Laguna0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Liguilla (playoffs) | Toluca | 11 | 6 | +10 | 20 |
| 3, Liguilla (playoffs) | Querétaro FC | 10 | 6 | +7 | 20 |
| 4, Liguilla (playoffs) | Chivas | 11 | 5 | +7 | 19 |
| 13 | Tigres | 11 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 4 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 | Atlético de San Luis | 11 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
Liga MX on the same day
- 5527191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 731891The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →