Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Sarmiento — Rosario Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rosario Central are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Rosario Central: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Sarmiento 1 win, Rosario Central 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarmiento — Rosario Central What is xG? | 0.9–1.3 | |
| Sarmiento not to lose | 57% | |
| Rosario Central not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarmiento
- Sarmiento goals
- Rosario Central goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
- 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
- 13.09Belgrano1:1
- 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
- 29.08away · Unión1:4
- 11.10Independiente Rivadavia5:0
- 06.10away · Banfield1:1
- 20.09Argentinos Juniors1:0
- 13.09away · Tigre1:0
- 06.09Newell's Old Boys1:1
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Rosario Central — Sarmiento2:1
- 24.10.2025Sarmiento — Rosario Central0:1
- 23.02.2025Rosario Central — Sarmiento1:0
- 20.07.2024Rosario Central — Sarmiento4:2
- 04.03.2023Sarmiento — Rosario Central4:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia LPpreliminary2429472The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- HuracánTigrepreliminary373330XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Racing ClubAldosivipreliminary6124141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Deportivo RiestraTallerespreliminary4133261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:11.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →