Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Sarmiento — Rosario Central

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Model prediction for 31 October

Sarmiento28%
Draw30%
Rosario Central42%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rosario Central are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sarmiento — Rosario Central What is xG?1.0–1.3
Sarmiento not to lose58%
Rosario Central not to lose72%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sarmiento
  • Sarmiento goals
  • Rosario Central goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sarmiento

  • 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
  • 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
  • 13.09Belgrano1:1
  • 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
  • 29.08away · Unión1:4

Rosario Central

  • 11.10Independiente Rivadavia5:0
  • 06.10away · Banfield1:1
  • 20.09Argentinos Juniors1:0
  • 13.09away · Tigre1:0
  • 06.09Newell's Old Boys1:1

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Rosario Central — Sarmiento2:1
  • 24.10.2025Sarmiento — Rosario Central0:1
  • 23.02.2025Rosario Central — Sarmiento1:0
  • 20.07.2024Rosario Central — Sarmiento4:2
  • 04.03.2023Sarmiento — Rosario Central4:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →