Sarmiento — Rosario Central
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Rosario Central are slightly stronger: 42% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Rosario Central are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sarmiento — Rosario Central What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Sarmiento not to lose | 58% | |
| Rosario Central not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sarmiento
- Sarmiento goals
- Rosario Central goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10away · Aldosivi3:1
- 19.09away · Racing Club1:3
- 13.09Belgrano1:1
- 04.09away · Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:0
- 29.08away · Unión1:4
- 11.10Independiente Rivadavia5:0
- 06.10away · Banfield1:1
- 20.09Argentinos Juniors1:0
- 13.09away · Tigre1:0
- 06.09Newell's Old Boys1:1
Head to head
- 20.04.2026Rosario Central — Sarmiento2:1
- 24.10.2025Sarmiento — Rosario Central0:1
- 23.02.2025Rosario Central — Sarmiento1:0
- 20.07.2024Rosario Central — Sarmiento4:2
- 04.03.2023Sarmiento — Rosario Central4:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia LPpreliminary2629452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.1
- HuracánTigrepreliminary383329XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- Racing ClubAldosivipreliminary6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Deportivo RiestraTallerespreliminary4332251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →