Copa del Rey · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
SD Amorebieta — Logroñés
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
SD Amorebieta are clear favourites: 53% against 23% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings SD Amorebieta are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SD Amorebieta — Logroñés What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| SD Amorebieta not to lose | 77% | |
| Logroñés not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap SD Amorebieta
- SD Amorebieta goals
- Logroñés goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10away · Barbastro0:4
- 02.06away · CD Mirandés0:1
- 26.05Espanyol0:0
- 18.05away · Tenerife1:0
- 12.05Villarreal B2:0
Head to head
- 16.12.2020SD Amorebieta — Logroñés1:0
Copa del Rey on the same day
- Anaitasuna FTDeportivo Alavéspreliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Coruxo FCZamorapreliminary2926442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Peña SportSD Huescapreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- PoblenseAD Ceuta FCpreliminary1722612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- PortugaleteReal Uniónpreliminary4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- UteboSabadellpreliminary916752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.3
- AlcoyanoMallorcapreliminary1118712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- CD BadajozTenerifepreliminary2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →