Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Seattle Sounders FC are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Seattle Sounders FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 82% | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- CF Montréal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · New England Revolution3:0
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
- 10.10away · Toronto FC1:2
- 27.09FC Cincinnati3:1
- 20.09Columbus Crew0:2
- 13.09away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 10.09Charlotte FC1:2
Head to head
- 07.04.2024Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →