Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Seattle Sounders FC are clear favourites: 57% against 18% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Seattle Sounders FC are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Seattle Sounders FC — No. 13, 41 pts; CF Montréal — No. 29, 24 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Seattle Sounders FC: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 82% | |
| CF Montréal not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Seattle Sounders FC
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- CF Montréal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · New England Revolution3:0
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
- 10.10away · Toronto FC1:2
- 27.09FC Cincinnati3:1
- 20.09Columbus Crew0:2
- 13.09away · Colorado Rapids0:1
- 10.09Charlotte FC1:2
Head to head
- 07.04.2024Seattle Sounders FC — CF Montréal5:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 28 | Atlanta United | 28 | 7 | -15 | 27 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 4028331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- 2026552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →