Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Serik Spor — Hakkari Zap Spor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Serik Spor34%
Draw27%
Hakkari Zap Spor40%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Serik Spor 34%, Hakkari Zap Spor 40%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Serik Spor — Hakkari Zap Spor What is xG?1.3–1.4
Serik Spor not to lose60%
Hakkari Zap Spor not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Serik Spor
  • Serik Spor goals
  • Hakkari Zap Spor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Serik Spor

  • 28.10away · Aliağa3:4
  • 30.10away · Osmaniyespor0:6

Hakkari Zap Spor

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →