Nigeria NPFL, round 9 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Shooting Stars — Ranchers Bees

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Model prediction for 18 October

Shooting Stars58%
Draw25%
Ranchers Bees17%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Shooting Stars are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 41%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Shooting Stars are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Shooting Stars — Ranchers Bees What is xG?1.6–0.7
Shooting Stars not to lose83%
Ranchers Bees not to lose42%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes41%
Both teams to score: no59%
Total over 2.540%
Total under 2.560%

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  • Handicap Shooting Stars
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Form

Shooting Stars

  • 11.10away · Kun Khalifat0:2
  • 07.10Kano Pillars0:0
  • 04.10Nasarawa United0:0
  • 30.09away · Enyimba2:4
  • 27.09away · Warri Wolves FC0:1

Ranchers Bees

  • 10.10Niger Tornadoes0:0
  • 04.10away · Kwara United1:2
  • 28.09Rivers United FC0:0
  • 23.09away · Enugu Rangers0:1
  • 19.09Bendel Insurance2:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
15Abia Warriors82338–11-39
16Ranchers Bees82249–10-18
17Shooting Stars82247–11-48
18Kun Khalifat82247–14-78

Season 2026/27

Full table

Nigeria NPFL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →