Polish Ekstraklasa, round 12 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Śląsk Wrocław — Wieczysta Kraków
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wieczysta Kraków are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Śląsk Wrocław — No. 17, 6 pts; Wieczysta Kraków — No. 15, 8 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Śląsk Wrocław: 4 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Śląsk Wrocław — Wieczysta Kraków What is xG? | 1.4–1.7 | |
| Śląsk Wrocław not to lose | 57% | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Śląsk Wrocław
- Śląsk Wrocław goals
- Wieczysta Kraków goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10Lech Poznań1:4
- 18.09away · Wisła Kraków1:2
- 12.09Korona Kielce1:2
- 06.09away · Jagiellonia Białystok1:2
- 28.08away · Legia Warszawa1:1
- 12.10away · GKS Katowice1:2
- 09.10Wisła Płock3:0
- 18.09away · Widzew Łódź2:2
- 13.09away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 07.09Zagłębie Lubin1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | -12 | 3 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Jagiellonia BiałystokWisła Płockpreliminary5027221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Legia WarszawaLech Poznańpreliminary323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →