Peruvian Liga 1 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Sport Huancayo — Cusco FC

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Model prediction for 16 October

Sport Huancayo37%
Draw28%
Cusco FC35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Sport Huancayo 37%, Cusco FC 35%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Sport Huancayo: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: Sport Huancayo 1 win, Cusco FC 4.
  • Days of rest before the match: Sport Huancayo 6, Cusco FC 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sport Huancayo — Cusco FC What is xG?1.5–1.4
Sport Huancayo not to lose65%
Cusco FC not to lose63%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Sport Huancayo
  • Sport Huancayo goals
  • Cusco FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Sport Huancayo

  • 10.10away · Deportivo Garcilaso1:0
  • 20.09CD UT Cajamarca3:2
  • 12.09away · Comerciantes Unidos1:0
  • 05.09Sport Boys2:1
  • 30.08away · Asociación Deportiva Tarma3:1

Cusco FC

  • 12.10Alianza Lima1:2
  • 19.09away · FC Cajamarca2:1
  • 12.09FBC Melgar0:1
  • 06.09Club Deportivo Moquegua2:0
  • 31.08away · Cienciano2:1

Head to head

  • 26.04.2026Cusco FC — Sport Huancayo2:1
  • 23.11.2025Sport Huancayo — Cusco FC1:2
  • 14.07.2025Cusco FC — Sport Huancayo3:0
  • 25.07.2024Cusco FC — Sport Huancayo3:0
  • 12.02.2024Sport Huancayo — Cusco FC2:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →