Peruvian Liga 1 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Los Chankas — Asociación Deportiva Tarma
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Los Chankas are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Los Chankas are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Los Chankas: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Los Chankas 1 win, Asociación Deportiva Tarma 3, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Los Chankas 8, Asociación Deportiva Tarma 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Los Chankas — Asociación Deportiva Tarma What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Los Chankas not to lose | 78% | |
| Asociación Deportiva Tarma not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Los Chankas
- Los Chankas goals
- Asociación Deportiva Tarma goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 08.10away · Atlético Grau0:0
- 30.09away · Cienciano1:1
- 12.09FC Cajamarca1:2
- 06.09away · Sporting Cristal0:5
- 29.08ADC Juan Pablo II3:4
- 10.10FC Cajamarca0:0
- 23.09Cienciano2:1
- 19.09away · Alianza Lima0:2
- 07.09away · FBC Melgar0:3
- 30.08Sport Huancayo1:3
Head to head
- 27.04.2026Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Los Chankas4:0
- 10.11.2025Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Los Chankas1:0
- 04.07.2025Los Chankas — Asociación Deportiva Tarma1:1
- 27.07.2024Asociación Deportiva Tarma — Los Chankas2:1
- 11.02.2024Los Chankas — Asociación Deportiva Tarma2:0
Peruvian Liga 1 on the same day
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →