Segunda Division, round 10 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Sporting Gijón — Albacete
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Sporting Gijón are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting Gijón are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sporting Gijón — No. 6, 16 pts; Albacete — No. 22, 1 pt. A gap of 15 pts.
- Albacete: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Sporting Gijón 1 win, Albacete 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Gijón — Albacete What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Sporting Gijón not to lose | 79% | |
| Albacete not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Gijón
- Sporting Gijón goals
- Albacete goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Cádiz1:0
- 04.10Celta Fortuna3:2
- 27.09away · Real Oviedo0:2
- 19.09away · FC Andorra3:1
- 13.09Eldense0:1
- 12.10away · Real Valladolid0:5
- 03.10Eibar1:3
- 25.09away · Girona0:2
- 18.09Córdoba1:2
- 12.09away · Granada1:1
Head to head
- 15.02.2026Albacete — Sporting Gijón1:1
- 28.09.2025Sporting Gijón — Albacete3:4
- 23.03.2025Sporting Gijón — Albacete0:2
- 27.10.2024Albacete — Sporting Gijón3:3
- 01.03.2024Sporting Gijón — Albacete2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Sporting Gijón | 9 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 9 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 21, Relegation | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | -12 | 5 |
| 22, Relegation | Albacete | 9 | 0 | -15 | 1 |
Segunda Division on the same day
- 3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
- 3129412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →