Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: Sporting Kansas City 34%, Real Salt Lake 38%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Real Salt Lake are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sporting Kansas City — No. 30, 22 pts; Real Salt Lake — No. 22, 32 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sporting Kansas City 0 wins, Real Salt Lake 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| Sporting Kansas City not to lose | 62% | |
| Real Salt Lake not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting Kansas City
- Sporting Kansas City goals
- Real Salt Lake goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Portland Timbers3:3
- 02.10away · Seattle Sounders FC1:2
- 27.09away · Houston Dynamo FC2:0
- 20.09Philadelphia Union3:4
- 13.09Los Angeles FC3:1
- 11.10away · Philadelphia Union1:2
- 27.09New England Revolution3:0
- 24.09away · Seattle Sounders FC0:2
- 20.09Vancouver Whitecaps0:3
- 13.09New York City FC0:2
Head to head
- 04.04.2026Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City3:1
- 14.09.2025Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 29.06.2025Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake1:1
- 20.06.2024Sporting Kansas City — Real Salt Lake3:4
- 05.05.2024Real Salt Lake — Sporting Kansas City1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | San Diego FC | 28 | 8 | -3 | 32 |
| 22 | Real Salt Lake | 28 | 9 | -5 | 32 |
| 23 | Toronto FC | 28 | 7 | -11 | 32 |
| 29 | CF Montréal | 28 | 6 | -21 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | 6 | -33 | 22 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 4028331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4726271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- 2026552The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →