Paraguayan Primera Division · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 19 October

Sportivo Trinidense40%
Draw30%
Libertad31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Sportivo Trinidense are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 30%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Trinidense 1 win, Libertad 2, 2 draws.
  • Days of rest before the match: Sportivo Trinidense 9, Libertad 7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad What is xG?1.4–1.2
Sportivo Trinidense not to lose69%
Libertad not to lose60%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Both teams to score: no46%
Total over 2.546%
Total under 2.554%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Sportivo Trinidense
  • Sportivo Trinidense goals
  • Libertad goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Sportivo Trinidense

  • 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
  • 05.10Luqueño3:2
  • 27.09Cerro Porteño2:1
  • 18.09Guaraní0:1
  • 13.09away · Recoleta3:1

Libertad

  • 12.10Guaraní2:2
  • 05.10away · Recoleta2:1
  • 29.09Olimpia0:1
  • 19.09Sportivo Ameliano1:1
  • 12.09away · 2 de Mayo2:0

Head to head

  • 11.08.2026Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense2:1
  • 13.04.2026Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense1:1
  • 16.02.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad1:0
  • 06.10.2025Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense0:0
  • 26.07.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad0:2

Full record: 15 meetings →

Paraguayan Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →