Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Sportivo Trinidense are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Sportivo Trinidense 1 win, Libertad 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Sportivo Trinidense 9, Libertad 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad What is xG? | 1.4–1.2 | |
| Sportivo Trinidense not to lose | 69% | |
| Libertad not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 46% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 54% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sportivo Trinidense
- Sportivo Trinidense goals
- Libertad goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Sportivo San Lorenzo1:1
- 05.10Luqueño3:2
- 27.09Cerro Porteño2:1
- 18.09Guaraní0:1
- 13.09away · Recoleta3:1
- 12.10Guaraní2:2
- 05.10away · Recoleta2:1
- 29.09Olimpia0:1
- 19.09Sportivo Ameliano1:1
- 12.09away · 2 de Mayo2:0
Head to head
- 11.08.2026Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense2:1
- 13.04.2026Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense1:1
- 16.02.2026Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad1:0
- 06.10.2025Libertad — Sportivo Trinidense0:0
- 26.07.2025Sportivo Trinidense — Libertad0:2
Paraguayan Primera on the same day
- 5726171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →