Scottish Premiership, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
St. Mirren — Dundee FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
St. Mirren are slightly stronger: 47% against 27%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings St. Mirren are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: St. Mirren — No. 7, 10 pts; Dundee FC — No. 4, 13 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- St. Mirren: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: St. Mirren 1 win, Dundee FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: St. Mirren — Dundee FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| St. Mirren not to lose | 73% | |
| Dundee FC not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap St. Mirren
- St. Mirren goals
- Dundee FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Heart of Midlothian0:5
- 19.09Dundee United0:3
- 09.09away · Rangers0:1
- 05.09Celtic1:2
- 02.09away · Kilmarnock1:0
- 10.10away · Falkirk2:1
- 19.09Motherwell2:1
- 06.09away · Heart of Midlothian1:2
- 02.09St. Johnstone1:1
- 30.08Hibernian1:2
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Dundee FC — St. Mirren1:0
- 31.01.2026St. Mirren — Dundee FC0:0
- 29.11.2025Dundee FC — St. Mirren3:1
- 27.09.2025St. Mirren — Dundee FC1:0
- 05.04.2025Dundee FC — St. Mirren2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Heart of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 4, Championship round | Dundee FC | 8 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 5, Championship round | St. Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 6, Championship round | Dundee United | 8 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 7, Relegation round | St. Mirren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 8, Relegation round | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
Scottish Premiership on the same day
- Dundee UnitedAberdeenpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- FalkirkKilmarnockpreliminary5125241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- RangersSt. Johnstonepreliminary811361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →