English Premier League, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadium of Light
Sunderland — Brighton & Hove Albion
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:2Came true
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Brighton & Hove Albion to win (49%), came true.
Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 49% against 22% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Brighton & Hove Albion: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Sunderland 0 wins, Brighton & Hove Albion 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sunderland — Brighton & Hove Albion What is xG? | 1.1–1.6 | |
| Sunderland not to lose | 51% | |
| Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Handicap Sunderland
- Sunderland goals
- Brighton & Hove Albion goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Manchester City3:5
- 16.09AZ Alkmaar1:0
- 12.09Arsenal0:2
- 08.09Hull City1:0
- 05.09away · Brentford1:1
- 19.09Arsenal3:0
- 16.09away · Manchester United3:2
- 13.09away · Coventry City5:0
- 05.09Leeds United1:1
- 30.08away · Chelsea3:4
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Sunderland — Brighton & Hove Albion0:1
- 20.12.2025Brighton & Hove Albion — Sunderland0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | +5 | 15 |
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | +13 | 13 |
| 4, Champions League | Brentford | 6 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Sunderland | 6 | 1 | -6 | 4 |
| 18, Relegation | AFC Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | -6 | 3 |
Next matches
- TorreenseSunderland15 October · Europa League1420662The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.1
- Brighton & Hove AlbionFK Kauno Žalgiris15 October · Conference League861041The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.8
Premier League on the same day
- 7119101The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:1, exactly right.2.7
- 352935XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.9
- 4627281The most likely outcome came true: 15:1Final score 5:1. Model's score: 2:1.3.3
- 2228502The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.8
- 6124151The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →