EFL Championship, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Swansea City — West Ham United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Swansea City 36%, West Ham United 36%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Swansea City — West Ham United What is xG? | 1.6–1.6 | |
| Swansea City not to lose | 64% | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Swansea City
- Swansea City goals
- West Ham United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Millwall1:0
- 10.10Norwich City2:1
- 19.09away · Lincoln City2:1
- 12.09Burnley3:1
- 08.09away · Southampton1:3
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
- 08.09away · Bolton Wanderers3:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Swansea City | 10 | 7 | +9 | 23 |
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | West Bromwich Albion | 10 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
Championship on the same day
- 6720131The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- 4729251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 3929321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5127231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →