Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 4 October, MSK · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Talleres — Belgrano
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0:1Missed
In short
Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, Talleres to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Talleres are slightly stronger: 42% against 29%, draw 30%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Talleres are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Belgrano: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Talleres 0 wins, Belgrano 1, 4 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Talleres — Belgrano What is xG? | 1.2–0.9 | |
| Talleres not to lose | 71% | |
| Belgrano not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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- Handicap Talleres
- Talleres goals
- Belgrano goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · Instituto1:3
- 13.09Unión2:1
- 06.09away · San Lorenzo0:1
- 30.08Central Córdoba de Santiago0:0
- 25.08Rosario Central2:2
- 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
- 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
- 05.09Huracán1:1
- 30.08away · Atlético Tucumán0:0
- 23.08Defensa y Justicia1:2
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Talleres — Belgrano0:1
- 15.03.2026Belgrano — Talleres0:0
- 05.10.2025Talleres — Belgrano0:0
- 30.03.2025Belgrano — Talleres1:1
- 06.10.2024Talleres — Belgrano0:0
Next matches
- Racing ClubBelgrano12 October · Liga Profesional4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- TalleresIndependiente12 October · Liga Profesional4729241The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 5627171The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →