Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Talleres — Independiente
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In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Talleres to win (47%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 47% fails in about 53 matches out of 100 on average.
Talleres are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Talleres are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Talleres — Independiente What is xG? | 1.3–0.8 | |
| Talleres not to lose | 76% | |
| Independiente not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Talleres
- Talleres goals
- Independiente goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10Belgrano0:1
- 20.09away · Instituto1:3
- 13.09Unión2:1
- 06.09away · San Lorenzo0:1
- 30.08Central Córdoba de Santiago0:0
- 03.10Instituto1:4
- 19.09away · Unión2:1
- 14.09San Lorenzo1:1
- 06.09away · Central Córdoba de Santiago1:0
- 31.08Gimnasia Mendoza0:3
Head to head
- 22.03.2026Independiente — Talleres1:2
- 21.07.2025Independiente — Talleres1:2
- 29.01.2025Talleres — Independiente2:3
- 11.05.2024Independiente — Talleres1:3
- 29.01.2023Talleres — Independiente0:1
Next matches
- Boca JuniorsTalleres17 October · Liga Profesional6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
- Racing ClubIndependiente18 October · Liga Profesional4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4330271The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:1.2.2
- 5128211The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →