Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Telstar — Feyenoord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Feyenoord are clear favourites: 70% against 10% for the opponent, draw 20%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Feyenoord are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Telstar — No. 15, 6 pts; Feyenoord — No. 1, 20 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Telstar: winless in 5; Feyenoord: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Telstar 0 wins, Feyenoord 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Telstar — Feyenoord What is xG? | 1.1–2.4 | |
| Telstar not to lose | 30% | |
| Feyenoord not to lose | 90% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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Form
- 11.10ADO Den Haag2:2
- 20.09away · AZ Alkmaar0:1
- 13.09away · SC Heerenveen0:0
- 09.09away · FC Twente0:1
- 06.09Cambuur2:2
- 10.10AZ Alkmaar2:0
- 20.09FC Utrecht5:0
- 13.09away · PEC Zwolle7:0
- 09.09away · Barcelona1:5
- 05.09away · NEC Nijmegen3:1
Head to head
- 22.02.2026Feyenoord — Telstar2:1
- 30.11.2025Telstar — Feyenoord1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | +20 | 20 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 6 | +16 | 19 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 15 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | PEC Zwolle | 8 | 1 | -15 | 4 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 1117722The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.8
- 6222151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 70% will not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →