Ligue 1, round 8 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Toulouse — Troyes
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Toulouse are clear favourites: 73% against 10% for the opponent, draw 17%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Toulouse are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toulouse — Troyes What is xG? | 2.2–0.8 | |
| Toulouse not to lose | 90% | |
| Troyes not to lose | 27% | |
| No draw | 83% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Toulouse
- Toulouse goals
- Troyes goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Monaco2:2
- 19.09Le Havre3:2
- 12.09away · Lorient2:2
- 03.09Lille0:1
- 29.08away · Brest2:2
- 11.10Marseille0:2
- 19.09away · Angers0:2
- 13.09away · Lille0:2
- 06.09Strasbourg2:6
- 29.08away · Lorient2:1
Head to head
- 01.02.2023Toulouse — Troyes4:1
- 14.08.2022Troyes — Toulouse0:3
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- LensParis FCpreliminary6022181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →