Kazakhstan Premier League, round 30 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Ulytau — Atyrau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ulytau are slightly stronger: 41% against 28%, draw 31%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 28%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ulytau — Atyrau What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| Ulytau not to lose | 72% | |
| Atyrau not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 28% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 72% |
91 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ulytau
- Ulytau goals
- Atyrau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:0
- 18.09away · Aktobe2:2
- 13.09FC Altai Oskemen0:3
- 06.09away · Tobol Kostanay1:3
- 29.08Zhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
- 10.10away · Zhenis2:1
- 17.09Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
- 12.09away · Kaisar Kyzylorda0:1
- 05.09away · FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:0
- 30.08FC Astana2:3
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Atyrau — Ulytau0:0
- 27.09.2025Ulytau — Atyrau1:5
- 14.06.2025Atyrau — Ulytau0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Irtysh Pavlodar | 26 | 6 | -10 | 26 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Irtysh PavlodarOrdabasy Shymkentpreliminary1423642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- Kairat AlmatyFC Altai Oskemenpreliminary821261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Kaspiy AktauFC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovskpreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Tobol KostanayAktobepreliminary4027321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- FC YelimayOkzhetpes Kokshetaupreliminary4825271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- ZhenisKaisar Kyzylordapreliminary5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.2
- Zhetysu TaldykorganFC Astanapreliminary1322652The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →