Turkish Cup, round 3 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Ümraniyespor — Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor

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Model prediction for 27 October

Ümraniyespor61%
Draw22%
Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor17%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ümraniyespor are clear favourites: 61% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.

The model expects few goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 53%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Ümraniyespor are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Ümraniyespor — Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor What is xG?2.0–0.9
Ümraniyespor not to lose83%
Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor not to lose39%
No draw78%
Both teams to score: yes53%
Both teams to score: no47%
Total over 2.557%
Total under 2.543%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Ümraniyespor
  • Ümraniyespor goals
  • Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Ümraniyespor

  • 28.10away · Kahramanmaraşspor0:4
  • 18.12Fatih Karagümrük1:2
  • 05.12Isparta 32 Spor3:2
  • 07.06away · İstanbulspor0:4
  • 03.06Giresunspor0:1

Küçükçekmece Sinop Spor

  • 03.12away · Antalyaspor1:4
  • 30.10Erbaaspor3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Turkish Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →