Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universidad Católica are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad Católica are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica What is xG? | 0.9–1.7 | |
| Unión La Calera not to lose | 43% | |
| Universidad Católica not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Unión La Calera
- Unión La Calera goals
- Universidad Católica goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 11.10away · Deportes Concepción1:1
- 15.09Deportes Limache1:0
- 06.09away · O'Higgins1:2
- 01.09La Serena0:1
- 22.08away · Audax Italiano0:0
- 13.09away · Palestino3:2
- 06.09away · Everton CD1:0
- 01.09O'Higgins3:2
- 27.08away · Coquimbo Unido2:1
- 23.08Ñublense1:2
Head to head
- 21.04.2026Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera1:2
- 07.12.2025Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera2:1
- 21.06.2025Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica1:1
- 21.07.2024Universidad Católica — Unión La Calera2:0
- 23.03.2024Unión La Calera — Universidad Católica0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 24 | 13 | +22 | 45 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 23 | 13 | +17 | 42 |
| 4 | Everton CD | 24 | 11 | +13 | 39 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 24 | 6 | -22 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 24 | 4 | -21 | 18 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- O'HigginsCobresalpreliminary4825281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- ÑublenseCoquimbo Unidopreliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
- PalestinoColo Colopreliminary3526392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →