Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

O'Higgins — Cobresal

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Model prediction for 25 October

O'Higgins48%
Draw25%
Cobresal28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

O'Higgins are slightly stronger: 48% against 28%, draw 25%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 59%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings O'Higgins are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: O'Higgins — Cobresal What is xG?1.7–1.2
O'Higgins not to lose72%
Cobresal not to lose52%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes59%
Both teams to score: no41%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap O'Higgins
  • O'Higgins goals
  • Cobresal goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

O'Higgins

  • 10.10away · Huachipato0:2
  • 14.09away · Audax Italiano0:1
  • 06.09Unión La Calera2:1
  • 01.09away · Universidad Católica2:3
  • 24.08Palestino0:1

Cobresal

  • 10.10Universidad de Concepción1:1
  • 12.09Coquimbo Unido3:2
  • 08.09away · Deportes Limache0:3
  • 29.08Palestino2:0
  • 23.08away · La Serena3:3

Head to head

  • 19.04.2026Cobresal — O'Higgins2:3
  • 17.08.2025O'Higgins — Cobresal1:0
  • 17.03.2025Cobresal — O'Higgins0:0
  • 03.11.2024Cobresal — O'Higgins3:1
  • 26.05.2024O'Higgins — Cobresal2:2

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
12Audax Italiano2377926–31-528
13O'Higgins24831328–38-1027
14Cobresal24741335–45-1025
15, RelegationUniversidad de Concepción24651318–40-2223

Season 2026

Full table

Chilean Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →