Chilean Liga de Primera, round 25 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Palestino — Colo Colo

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Model prediction for 25 October

Palestino35%
Draw26%
Colo Colo39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Palestino 35%, Colo Colo 39%, draw 26%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Colo Colo are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Palestino — Colo Colo What is xG?1.5–1.6
Palestino not to lose61%
Colo Colo not to lose65%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Palestino
  • Palestino goals
  • Colo Colo goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Palestino

  • 12.10away · Deportes Limache2:2
  • 13.09Universidad Católica2:3
  • 07.09Universidad de Concepción2:1
  • 29.08away · Cobresal0:2
  • 24.08away · O'Higgins1:0

Colo Colo

  • 11.10away · Coquimbo Unido2:5
  • 13.09Deportes Concepción1:1
  • 06.09away · Huachipato0:0
  • 31.08Audax Italiano5:1
  • 23.08away · Universidad de Chile2:1

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Colo Colo — Palestino0:1
  • 22.08.2025Palestino — Colo Colo0:0
  • 28.03.2025Colo Colo — Palestino1:1
  • 20.10.2024Palestino — Colo Colo2:3
  • 20.05.2024Colo Colo — Palestino2:0

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
1Colo Colo24173450–27+2354
2Universidad de Chile24136541–19+2245
4Everton CD24116740–27+1339
5Palestino24114938–35+337
6Deportes Limache241041045–37+834

Season 2026

Full table

Chilean Primera on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →