UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Complex Sportiv Craiova

Universitatea Craiova — Getafe

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Model prediction for 15 October

Universitatea Craiova34%
Draw27%
Getafe40%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Evenly matched: Universitatea Craiova 34%, Getafe 40%, draw 27%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Getafe are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Universitatea Craiova — Getafe What is xG?1.3–1.4
Universitatea Craiova not to lose60%
Getafe not to lose66%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes57%
Both teams to score: no43%
Total over 2.553%
Total under 2.547%

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  • Handicap Universitatea Craiova
  • Universitatea Craiova goals
  • Getafe goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Universitatea Craiova

  • 18.12away · AEK Athens2:3
  • 11.12Sparta Prague1:2
  • 27.11Mainz 051:0
  • 06.11away · Rapid Wien1:0
  • 23.10FC Noah1:1

Getafe

  • 10.10away · Barcelona0:3
  • 20.09Málaga1:0
  • 17.09away · Real Betis0:1
  • 13.09Deportivo A Coruña1:1
  • 07.09Celta Vigo1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Conference League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →