Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Vancouver Whitecaps — Seattle Sounders FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Vancouver Whitecaps are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vancouver Whitecaps are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Vancouver Whitecaps — No. 2, 51 pts; Seattle Sounders FC — No. 13, 41 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Seattle Sounders FC: 4 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Vancouver Whitecaps 2 wins, Seattle Sounders FC 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vancouver Whitecaps — Seattle Sounders FC What is xG? | 2.2–1.1 | |
| Vancouver Whitecaps not to lose | 85% | |
| Seattle Sounders FC not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vancouver Whitecaps
- Vancouver Whitecaps goals
- Seattle Sounders FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Los Angeles FC1:1
- 07.10away · Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 27.09DC United3:3
- 20.09away · Real Salt Lake3:0
- 14.09Austin FC1:2
- 11.10away · New England Revolution3:0
- 02.10Sporting Kansas City2:1
- 27.09Minnesota United3:1
- 24.09Real Salt Lake2:0
- 20.09away · Colorado Rapids3:3
Head to head
- 17.08.2026Seattle Sounders FC — Vancouver Whitecaps0:2
- 19.03.2026Seattle Sounders FC — Vancouver Whitecaps2:1
- 13.03.2026Vancouver Whitecaps — Seattle Sounders FC0:3
- 28.09.2025Seattle Sounders FC — Vancouver Whitecaps2:2
- 09.06.2025Vancouver Whitecaps — Seattle Sounders FC3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 3, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | St. Louis City | 28 | 14 | +16 | 50 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 12 | +11 | 42 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Seattle Sounders FC | 28 | 11 | +3 | 41 |
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
MLS on the same day
- Nashville SCRed Bull New Yorkpreliminary6721121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- Atlanta UnitedToronto FCpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- New England RevolutionInter Miami CFpreliminary3427402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.6
- Los Angeles FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary5525211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.2
- Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FCpreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →