Swedish Allsvenskan, round 25 · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Västerås SK — Halmstads BK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Västerås SK are clear favourites: 52% against 22% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Västerås SK are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Västerås SK — No. 7, 35 pts; Halmstads BK — No. 16, 14 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Västerås SK 2 wins, Halmstads BK 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Västerås SK 14, Halmstads BK 11.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Västerås SK — Halmstads BK What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Västerås SK not to lose | 78% | |
| Halmstads BK not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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Form
- 09.10away · IFK Göteborg0:1
- 19.09Malmö FF2:0
- 12.09away · AIK4:1
- 05.09Sirius0:1
- 29.08away · Häcken3:1
- 12.10away · Elfsborg0:4
- 20.09AIK2:1
- 12.09away · IFK Göteborg1:2
- 05.09away · Degerfors0:2
- 29.08Kalmar FF1:0
Head to head
- 04.07.2026Halmstads BK — Västerås SK1:3
- 26.08.2024Halmstads BK — Västerås SK0:1
- 13.04.2024Västerås SK — Halmstads BK0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Malmö FF | 23 | 11 | +5 | 36 |
| 7 | Västerås SK | 23 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | IFK Göteborg | 23 | 10 | -9 | 35 |
| 15, Relegation | Örgryte | 23 | 3 | -27 | 15 |
| 16, Relegation | Halmstads BK | 23 | 3 | -28 | 14 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- ElfsborgMalmö FFpreliminary4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →