Argentine Liga Profesional · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Vélez Sarsfield — Gimnasia Mendoza
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Vélez Sarsfield are clear favourites: 53% against 20% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 45%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Vélez Sarsfield are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vélez Sarsfield — Gimnasia Mendoza What is xG? | 1.5–0.8 | |
| Vélez Sarsfield not to lose | 80% | |
| Gimnasia Mendoza not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 45% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 55% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vélez Sarsfield
- Vélez Sarsfield goals
- Gimnasia Mendoza goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Lanús0:2
- 06.10Club Atlético Platense2:2
- 21.09Tigre3:2
- 11.09away · Newell's Old Boys1:1
- 06.09Estudiantes1:0
- 13.10Newell's Old Boys1:0
- 06.10away · Estudiantes0:3
- 19.09Deportivo Riestra0:0
- 12.09away · Defensa y Justicia0:2
- 05.09Boca Juniors2:2
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Gimnasia Mendoza — Vélez Sarsfield3:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 3031392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.1
- 4330271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →