Serie A, round 9 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Venezia — Inter
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter are clear favourites: 82% against 6% for the opponent, draw 12%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter are about 1.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Venezia — Inter What is xG? | 0.8–2.7 | |
| Venezia not to lose | 18% | |
| Inter not to lose | 94% | |
| No draw | 88% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 70% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 30% |
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Form
- 12.10away · Atalanta1:3
- 19.09Lazio0:2
- 11.09Fiorentina2:4
- 06.09away · Frosinone2:3
- 02.09away · Udinese1:2
Head to head
- 03.12.2025Inter — Venezia5:1
- 12.01.2025Venezia — Inter0:1
- 03.11.2024Inter — Venezia1:0
- 22.01.2022Inter — Venezia2:1
- 27.11.2021Venezia — Inter0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Inter | 6 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 2, Champions League | Lazio | 6 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 19, Relegation | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Venezia | 6 | 0 | -11 | 0 |
Serie A on the same day
- MilanBolognapreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- ParmaUdinesepreliminary313237XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- GenoaJuventuspreliminary1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- MonzaNapolipreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →