Serie A, round 9 · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK
Parma — Udinese
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Parma 31%, Udinese 37%, draw 32%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Parma — Udinese What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Parma not to lose | 63% | |
| Udinese not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Parma
- Parma goals
- Udinese goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Udinese — Parma0:1
- 29.11.2025Parma — Udinese0:2
- 01.03.2025Udinese — Parma1:0
- 16.09.2024Parma — Udinese2:3
- 21.02.2021Parma — Udinese2:2
Table
Serie A on the same day
- MilanBolognapreliminary5029211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- VeneziaInterpreliminary612822The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- GenoaJuventuspreliminary1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- MonzaNapolipreliminary1423632The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →