Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Veres Rivne — Chornomorets Odesa

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Model prediction for 31 October

Veres Rivne48%
Draw31%
Chornomorets Odesa21%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Veres Rivne are clear favourites: 48% against 21% for the opponent, draw 31%.

The model expects few goals: 1.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.

Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 36%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Veres Rivne are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Veres Rivne — Chornomorets Odesa What is xG?1.1–0.7
Veres Rivne not to lose79%
Chornomorets Odesa not to lose52%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes36%
Both teams to score: no64%
Total over 2.529%
Total under 2.571%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Veres Rivne
  • Veres Rivne goals
  • Chornomorets Odesa goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Veres Rivne

  • 09.10Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
  • 03.10Kudrivka2:1
  • 20.09away · Karpaty1:1
  • 06.09Zorya1:1
  • 30.08away · LNZ Cherkasy1:0

Chornomorets Odesa

  • 10.10FC Kharkiv1:2
  • 18.09Obolon Kyiv1:1
  • 14.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:2
  • 04.09Liviy Bereh0:0
  • 30.08Kryvbas1:0

Head to head

  • 20.04.2025Veres Rivne — Chornomorets Odesa2:1
  • 20.10.2024Chornomorets Odesa — Veres Rivne1:1
  • 17.03.2024Chornomorets Odesa — Veres Rivne0:1
  • 01.09.2023Veres Rivne — Chornomorets Odesa3:1

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
7LNZ Cherkasy83237–9-211
8Veres Rivne82336–9-39
9FC Kolos Kovalivka72239–11-28
13, Relegation play-offKryvbas61237–10-35
14, Relegation play-offChornomorets Odesa71244–9-55
15, RelegationObolon Kyiv70432–12-104

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →