Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Virtus Entella — Avellino
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Virtus Entella are clear favourites: 47% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Virtus Entella are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Virtus Entella — Avellino What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| Virtus Entella not to lose | 76% | |
| Avellino not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Virtus Entella
- Virtus Entella goals
- Avellino goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Juve Stabia1:1
- 19.09away · Cremonese0:0
- 11.09away · Pisa4:1
- 06.09LR Vicenza2:2
- 29.08Cesena1:2
- 09.10Sampdoria4:1
- 19.09away · Ascoli1:3
- 13.09Palermo1:1
- 06.09away · Modena1:0
- 29.08LR Vicenza3:0
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Virtus Entella — Avellino1:2
- 27.09.2025Avellino — Virtus Entella2:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- BeneventoCatanzaropreliminary3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- AscoliSampdoriapreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- CesenaEmpolipreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- MantovaCremonesepreliminary393130XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- PadovaSüdtirolpreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →