Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Benevento — Catanzaro
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Benevento are slightly stronger: 39% against 32%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Benevento — Catanzaro What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Benevento not to lose | 68% | |
| Catanzaro not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Benevento
- Benevento goals
- Catanzaro goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Cesena2:0
- 19.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 11.09Hellas Verona3:1
- 05.09away · Ascoli0:1
- 30.08Südtirol1:1
- 11.10Mantova1:3
- 19.09away · Sampdoria1:2
- 12.09Carrarese1:0
- 05.09away · Südtirol0:2
- 30.08away · Pisa1:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Pisa | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Benevento | 6 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 19, Relegation | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
| 20, Relegation | Catanzaro | 6 | 1 | -6 | 3 |
Serie B on the same day
- AscoliSampdoriapreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- CesenaEmpolipreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Virtus EntellaAvellinopreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- MantovaCremonesepreliminary393130XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
- PadovaSüdtirolpreliminary333235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →