Serie B, round 9 · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Padova — Südtirol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Padova 33%, Südtirol 35%, draw 32%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 48%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Südtirol are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Padova — Südtirol What is xG? | 1.1–1.1 | |
| Padova not to lose | 65% | |
| Südtirol not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 48% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 52% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Padova
- Padova goals
- Südtirol goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Carrarese0:2
- 19.09away · Palermo1:2
- 12.09Ascoli1:0
- 06.09away · Cremonese1:3
- 29.08Hellas Verona1:1
Head to head
- 25.01.2026Südtirol — Padova3:0
- 01.11.2025Padova — Südtirol1:1
Table
Serie B on the same day
- BeneventoCatanzaropreliminary3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- AscoliSampdoriapreliminary4531251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.3
- CesenaEmpolipreliminary4728251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Virtus EntellaAvellinopreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- LR VicenzaModenapreliminary2529462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- MantovaCremonesepreliminary393130XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →