Belarusian Premier League · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Centralnyj Stadion
Vitebsk — Isloch
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0:0Missed
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Isloch to win (45%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 45% fails in about 55 matches out of 100 on average.
Isloch are slightly stronger: 45% against 27%, draw 27%.
2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Isloch are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitebsk — Isloch What is xG? | 0.9–1.2 | |
| Vitebsk not to lose | 55% | |
| Isloch not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 43% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 57% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Vitebsk
- Vitebsk goals
- Isloch goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Zhodino6:0
- 12.09Belshina1:1
- 04.09away · Slavia Mozyr0:3
- 28.08Naftan2:0
- 21.08away · FC Minsk1:0
- 19.09Neman1:2
- 13.09FC Gomel2:1
- 07.09Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1:1
- 03.09BATE2:0
- 30.08away · Dnepr Mogilev0:0
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Isloch — Vitebsk3:0
- 24.08.2025Isloch — Vitebsk3:0
- 11.04.2025Vitebsk — Isloch3:3
- 01.12.2024Isloch — Vitebsk1:0
- 06.07.2024Vitebsk — Isloch0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Din. Minsk | 22 | 14 | +22 | 46 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Isloch | 23 | 13 | +19 | 46 |
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 7 | Vitebsk | 24 | 10 | +7 | 37 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 24 | 10 | +1 | 34 |
Next matches
- IslochFC Minsk17 October · Belarusian Premier League6022181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- BaranoviciVitebsk17 October · Belarusian Premier League3226432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 2827452The most likely outcome came true: 21:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 1:2.2.3
- 1423632The most likely outcome came true: 22:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 0:3.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →