Nigeria NPFL, round 8 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK
Warri Wolves FC — Inter Lagos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:1Came true
In short
Final score 3:1: the model's most likely outcome, Warri Wolves FC to win (68%), came true.
Warri Wolves FC are clear favourites: 68% against 10% for the opponent, draw 22%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 23%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Warri Wolves FC — Inter Lagos What is xG? | 1.5–0.4 | |
| Warri Wolves FC not to lose | 90% | |
| Inter Lagos not to lose | 32% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 23% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 77% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Warri Wolves FC
- Warri Wolves FC goals
- Inter Lagos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.10away · Doma United0:1
- 30.09Enugu Rangers0:1
- 27.09Shooting Stars1:0
- 23.09away · Niger Tornadoes0:0
- 20.09Kwara United1:0
- 04.10Katsina United1:1
- 27.09away · Plateau United0:2
- 23.09Kano Pillars1:1
- 20.09away · Enyimba1:0
- 13.09Sporting Lagos0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kwara United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Warri Wolves FC | 8 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | Niger Tornadoes | 8 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 19 | Enyimba | 8 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
Next matches
- EnyimbaWarri Wolves FC18 October · Nigeria NPFL6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- Inter LagosNasarawa United18 October · Nigeria NPFL363232XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:11.7
Nigeria NPFL on the same day
- 4231281The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5029211The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:0.1.8
- 5825181The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6621131The most likely outcome came true: 12:0Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.2.4
- 6323141The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 5227221The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →