Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Widzew Łódź — Wisła Kraków

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Model prediction for 16 October

Widzew Łódź39%
Draw30%
Wisła Kraków31%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Widzew Łódź are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Widzew Łódź are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Widzew Łódź — No. 13, 9 pts; Wisła Kraków — No. 6, 17 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
  • Widzew Łódź: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Widzew Łódź — Wisła Kraków What is xG?1.4–1.3
Widzew Łódź not to lose69%
Wisła Kraków not to lose61%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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Form

Widzew Łódź

  • 11.10away · Piast Gliwice1:2
  • 18.09Wieczysta Kraków2:2
  • 13.09away · Legia Warszawa1:1
  • 05.09Radomiak Radom0:0
  • 30.08Lech Poznań2:3

Wisła Kraków

  • 11.10away · Legia Warszawa0:2
  • 18.09Śląsk Wrocław2:1
  • 11.09Jagiellonia Białystok2:0
  • 05.09away · Korona Kielce1:1
  • 29.08Wieczysta Kraków2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
5GKS Katowice1060422–15+718
6Wisła Kraków1052317–14+317
7Piast Gliwice1051418–16+216
12Wisła Płock93249–15-611
13Widzew Łódź1016314–15-19
14Motor Lublin1023512–17-59

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ekstraklasa on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →