Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Wieczysta Kraków — Raków Częstochowa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Wieczysta Kraków are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.5 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 70%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wieczysta Kraków — Raków Częstochowa What is xG? | 1.9–1.6 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 71% | |
| Raków Częstochowa not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 30% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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Form
- 12.10away · GKS Katowice1:2
- 09.10Wisła Płock3:0
- 18.09away · Widzew Łódź2:2
- 13.09away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 07.09Zagłębie Lubin1:1
- 09.10GKS Katowice1:4
- 19.09away · Korona Kielce2:3
- 15.09Zagłębie Lubin2:3
- 11.09Motor Lublin2:1
- 06.09away · Lech Poznań0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | -12 | 3 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →