Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Wieczysta Kraków — Jagiellonia Białystok
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wieczysta Kraków are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wieczysta Kraków — Jagiellonia Białystok What is xG? | 1.9–1.5 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 71% | |
| Jagiellonia Białystok not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wieczysta Kraków
- Wieczysta Kraków goals
- Jagiellonia Białystok goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 12.10away · GKS Katowice1:2
- 09.10Wisła Płock3:0
- 18.09away · Widzew Łódź2:2
- 13.09away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 07.09Zagłębie Lubin1:1
- 10.10Górnik Zabrze1:3
- 20.09Legia Warszawa1:3
- 16.09away · Olympiacos1:2
- 11.09away · Wisła Kraków0:2
- 06.09Śląsk Wrocław2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Zagłębie Lubin | 10 | 4 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 9 | 4 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Wisła PłockPiast Gliwicepreliminary4030301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Lech PoznańWisła Krakówpreliminary6521141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- GKS KatowiceWidzew Łódźpreliminary4530251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →