Polish Ekstraklasa, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Wisła Płock — Piast Gliwice
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wisła Płock are slightly stronger: 43% against 27%, draw 30%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Wisła Płock — No. 12, 11 pts; Piast Gliwice — No. 7, 16 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Wisła Płock 2 wins, Piast Gliwice 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wisła Płock — Piast Gliwice What is xG? | 1.5–1.2 | |
| Wisła Płock not to lose | 73% | |
| Piast Gliwice not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Wisła Płock
- Wisła Płock goals
- Piast Gliwice goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10away · Wieczysta Kraków0:3
- 20.09away · Zagłębie Lubin2:0
- 13.09Cracovia3:1
- 07.09away · Pogoń Szczecin1:1
- 28.08Korona Kielce0:2
- 11.10Widzew Łódź2:1
- 20.09Pogoń Szczecin1:2
- 14.09away · Radomiak Radom2:0
- 04.09GKS Katowice3:0
- 29.08away · Motor Lublin2:0
Head to head
- 09.02.2026Piast Gliwice — Wisła Płock1:0
- 01.08.2025Wisła Płock — Piast Gliwice2:0
- 16.04.2023Piast Gliwice — Wisła Płock1:0
- 30.09.2022Wisła Płock — Piast Gliwice1:0
- 13.02.2022Wisła Płock — Piast Gliwice0:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wisła Kraków | 10 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisła Płock | 9 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- Wieczysta KrakówJagiellonia Białystokpreliminary4727261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Lech PoznańWisła Krakówpreliminary6422141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- GKS KatowiceWidzew Łódźpreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →