Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Wieczysta Kraków — Raków Częstochowa
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Wieczysta Kraków are clear favourites: 46% against 26% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Wieczysta Kraków — No. 15, 8 pts; Raków Częstochowa — No. 18, 3 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Raków Częstochowa: 3 defeats in a row.
- Days of rest before the match: Wieczysta Kraków 4, Raków Częstochowa 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Wieczysta Kraków — Raków Częstochowa What is xG? | 1.9–1.4 | |
| Wieczysta Kraków not to lose | 74% | |
| Raków Częstochowa not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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Form
- 12.10away · GKS Katowice1:2
- 09.10Wisła Płock3:0
- 18.09away · Widzew Łódź2:2
- 13.09away · Pogoń Szczecin0:2
- 07.09Zagłębie Lubin1:1
- 09.10GKS Katowice1:4
- 19.09away · Korona Kielce2:3
- 15.09Zagłębie Lubin2:3
- 11.09Motor Lublin2:1
- 06.09away · Lech Poznań0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | -12 | 3 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 3930311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →