EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Wolverhampton Wanderers — Cardiff City

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Model prediction for 31 October

Wolverhampton Wanderers59%
Draw23%
Cardiff City19%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Wolverhampton Wanderers are clear favourites: 59% against 19% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 63%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Wolverhampton Wanderers are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Wolverhampton Wanderers — Cardiff City What is xG?2.2–1.2
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose81%
Cardiff City not to lose41%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes63%
Both teams to score: no37%
Total over 2.565%
Total under 2.535%

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Form

Wolverhampton Wanderers

  • 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
  • 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
  • 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
  • 16.09away · Everton0:1
  • 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0

Cardiff City

  • 13.10Watford5:1
  • 10.10away · Blackburn Rovers1:2
  • 19.09Charlton Athletic3:1
  • 12.09away · Bolton Wanderers0:1
  • 08.09Stoke City1:1

Head to head

  • 02.03.2019Wolverhampton Wanderers — Cardiff City2:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9Queens Park Rangers935111–8+314
10Wolverhampton Wanderers942316–14+214
11Millwall1042416–16014
17Lincoln City93247–11-411
18Cardiff City1024416–15+110
19Norwich City930617–19-29

Season 2026/27

Full table

Championship on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →