EFL Championship, round 13 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Southampton — Queens Park Rangers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Southampton are clear favourites: 58% against 18% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Southampton are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Southampton — Queens Park Rangers What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Southampton not to lose | 82% | |
| Queens Park Rangers not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- Southampton goals
- Queens Park Rangers goals
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Form
- 11.10Portsmouth1:0
- 19.09away · Wrexham1:2
- 12.09Bristol City4:1
- 08.09Swansea City3:1
- 05.09away · Lincoln City1:1
- 09.10away · West Ham United1:1
- 19.09Preston North End2:2
- 12.09away · West Bromwich Albion1:1
- 09.09away · Charlton Athletic0:0
- 05.09Middlesbrough0:1
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Southampton — Queens Park Rangers5:0
- 05.11.2025Queens Park Rangers — Southampton1:2
- 23.12.2023Queens Park Rangers — Southampton0:1
- 26.08.2023Southampton — Queens Park Rangers2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Promotion | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | +6 | 21 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 9 | 5 | +10 | 17 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Lincoln CityBirmingham Citypreliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- Norwich CityWatfordpreliminary5625191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- Stoke CityPreston North Endpreliminary4329281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- Bolton WanderersBristol Citypreliminary4228301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- BurnleyPortsmouthpreliminary5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- MiddlesbroughCharlton Athleticpreliminary7019111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MillwallDerby Countypreliminary5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- Swansea CityBlackburn Roverspreliminary5228201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →