J1 League (Japan), round 13 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Yokohama F.Marinos — Kawasaki Frontale
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Yokohama F.Marinos are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Yokohama F.Marinos — No. 7, 15 pts; Kawasaki Frontale — No. 8, 13 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Yokohama F.Marinos: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Yokohama F.Marinos 2 wins, Kawasaki Frontale 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Yokohama F.Marinos — Kawasaki Frontale What is xG? | 1.5–1.4 | |
| Yokohama F.Marinos not to lose | 68% | |
| Kawasaki Frontale not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Cerezo Osaka0:0
- 19.09Mito Hollyhock2:0
- 12.09away · Machida Zelvia1:1
- 06.09away · Kashiwa Reysol2:0
- 02.09Kyoto Sanga FC1:1
- 11.10Nagoya Grampus1:2
- 19.09Kashima Antlers3:3
- 12.09away · Mito Hollyhock1:0
- 06.09Shimizu S-Pulse3:1
- 02.09away · Machida Zelvia1:2
Head to head
- 18.04.2026Yokohama F.Marinos — Kawasaki Frontale1:2
- 22.03.2026Kawasaki Frontale — Yokohama F.Marinos0:5
- 13.09.2025Yokohama F.Marinos — Kawasaki Frontale0:3
- 09.04.2025Kawasaki Frontale — Yokohama F.Marinos3:3
- 17.08.2024Kawasaki Frontale — Yokohama F.Marinos1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 9 | 5 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 9 | 4 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 9 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 9 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
J1 League on the same day
- JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuokapreliminary343036XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- V-Varen NagasakiTokyo Verdypreliminary4130281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- Machida ZelviaGamba Osakapreliminary5326211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →